Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) Checkup: Shares Up 7.29% Over the Past 4 Weeks

Investors tracking shares of Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) may have taken notice that the stock has risen 7.29% over the last 4 weeks. Tracking back over the last half-year, shares have seen a change of 1.11%. Viewing out over the past 52-weeks, shares have moved 15.99%. Watching the last 5 trading periods, shares have changed 2.12%.

When it comes to investing, overconfidence can be detrimental to securing profits in the equity market. When investors have some early short-term wins, this may lead them to believe that it is their skill and superior knowledge that produced the winners. All though this may occasionally be the case, investors may quickly realize that it is very difficult to consistently produce winning results. Sometimes a few wins can lead the investor to believe that they can make any trade work. This may create a situation where the individual gets in much deeper than they should have. Conducting the proper stock research before any trade can assist the investor make sure that they are getting into a position for the right reasons.

Traders may be focusing in on the ATR or Average True Range indicator when performing stock analysis. At the time of writing, Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) has a 14-day ATR of 1.35. The average true range indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder in order to calculate volatility. The ATR may assist traders with figuring out the strength of a breakout or reversal in price. It is meaningful to note that the ATR was not designed to determine price direction or to predict future prices.

We can also take a look at the Average Directional Index or ADX of the stock. For traders gazing to capitalize on trends, the ADX may be an essential technical mechanism. The ADX is used to calculate trend strength. ADX calculations are made based on the moving average price range expansion over a specified amount of time. ADX is charted as a line with values ranging from 0 to 100. The indicator is non-directional meaning that it gauges trend strength whether the stock price is trending higher or lower. The 14-day ADX for Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) at present sits at 29.53. In general, and ADX value from 0-25 would represent an absent or weak trend. A value of 25-50 would indicate a strong trend. A value of 50-75 would indicate a very strong trend, and a value of 75-100 would signify an extremely strong trend.

Taking a closer look from a technical standpoint, Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) at present has a 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of 131.24. Typically, the CCI oscillates above and below a zero line. Normal oscillations tend to remain in the range of -100 to +100. A CCI reading of +100 may represent overbought conditions, while readings near -100 may indicate oversold territory. Although the CCI indicator was developed for commodities, it has become a prime mechanism for equity evaluation as well.

A commonly used mechanism among technical stock analysts is the moving average. Moving averages are considered to be lagging indicators that simply take the average price of a stock over a certain course of time. Moving averages can be very useful for identifying peaks and troughs. They may also be used to assist the trader determine proper support and resistance levels for the stock. Currently, the 200-day MA for Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) is sitting at 65.14.

Investors have a few distinct options when approaching the equity market. One option is to keep track of the crowd and trade with the consensus. Another way is to go against the herd and adopt a contrarian strategy. When it comes down to it, the investor will typically have to make this decision with their best interests in mind. In general, no investor wants to miss out on a winning stock. Far too often, investors will be overcome with the fear of missing out and get into a stock way too late. Just because a stock has been over performing and seeing large gains does not mean that those gains are going to continue into the future. Investors may be too quick to get into a hot stock without handing in the proper time and energy to research whether or not it is still a good stock at current trading levels. Investors who take the time to do their home work for every trade may find themselves a step ahead of the crowd in the long run.

The Williams Percent Range or Williams %R is a technical indicator worth taking a look at. Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) currently has a 14 day Williams %R of -6.16. The Williams %R fluctuates between 0 and -100 measuring whether a security is overbought or oversold. The Williams %R is similar to the Stochastic Oscillator except it is plotted upside-down. Levels above -20 may indicate the stock may be considered is overbought. If the indicator travels under -80, this may signal that the stock is oversold. Chart analysts may also use the indicator to project possible price reversals and to define trends.

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